The European economy is in bad shape and there are more country level downgrades in the coming months. That means low crude oil demand from that region.
The Japanese economy is doing badly and the best case estimate is a near zero GDP growth in 2010. Also China is expected to prune down the growth rate in the coming months as the economy is over heating.
Also the US economy may take a longer time to recover in terms of employment situation. All these indicate that the crude oil demand in 2010 may at best see a modest rise in demand. So most of the analysts do not expect the crude oil prices to go beyond 90 dollars this year.
The worst case scenario price for crude oil in 2010 is 40 dollars a barrel.